Page 261 -
P. 261

260	 Chapter 6  Linear Regression with Multiple Regressors

	 b.	 Run a regression of Growth on TradeShare, YearsSchool, Rev_Coups,
                                       Assassinations, and RGDP60. What is the value of the coefficient on
                                       Rev_Coups? Interpret the value of this coefficient. Is it large or small
                                       in a real-world sense?

	 c.	 Use the regression to predict the average annual growth rate for a
                                       country that has average values for all regressors.

	 d.	 Repeat (c) but now assume that the country’s value for TradeShare is
                                       one standard deviation above the mean.

	 e.	 Why is Oil omitted from the regression? What would happen if it
                                       were included?

	 Appendix

	 6.1	 Derivation of Equation (6.1)

                            This appendix presents a derivation of the formula for omitted variable bias in Equation (6.1).
                            Equation (4.30) in Appendix (4.3) states

              	                       bn1          +  n1   n        -  X )ui
                                                                    -       .	(6.16)
                                           =   b1         ia= 1(Xi
                                                           n           X)2
                                                      1        (Xi
                                                      n   a
                                                          i=1

Under      the    last  two  assumptions   in  Key  Concept         4.3,  (1  >  n)  g  n   1(Xi  -  X )2  ¡p  sX2  and
                                                                                        i=
              n                   ¡p
(1  >  n)  g  i=  1(Xi  -  X )ui      cov(ui, Xi) = rXususX. Substitution of these limits into Equa-

tion (6.16) yields Equation (6.1).

	 Appendix

	 6.2	 Distribution of the OLS Estimators

               When There Are Two Regressors and
               Homoskedastic Errors

                            Although the general formula for the variance of the OLS estimators in multiple regression is
                            complicated, if there are two regressors (k = 2) and the errors are homoskedastic, then the
                            formula simplifies enough to provide some insights into the distribution of the OLS estimators.
   256   257   258   259   260   261   262   263   264   265   266